A blog about television by TIME’s TV critic James Poniewozik.

Writers Strike a Date for Strike

The WGA TV and movie writers' strike will begin Monday, Variety is reporting.

What happens then? When you turn your TV on Monday, there will be no picture. (You may hear a faint hissing sound from the remaining electrons escaping.) Your cable line will dry out and shrivel, not unlike a newborn's umbilical stump, and eventually wither away. People will wheel their useless televisions to town squares across the country, where they will be welded together to provide durable, weatherproof shelter for the homeless, while their former owners stage impromptu performances of Shakespeare and debate politics and theology.

No, actually, the drying up of TV will happen quickly for some shows (late-night talk), slowly for others (network, then cable scripted shows) and not at all for some (reality, news). The LA Times has a good partial overview chart.

In the meantime, members of the Guild will likely begin picketing Monday, timing the action, ironically, the better to get it on TV at the beginning of the work week.

And where does it go from there? At Deadline Hollywood Daily, Nikki Finke has been keeping a hawk's eye on developments, and she's using her insider-heavy readership to crowdsource their speculation and predictions. Finke says she's been hearing talk of a six-month strike; a self-identified writer on her site says he's ready to ride it out for a year and a half[!].

Meanwhile, commenter Michael S. suggests a compromise on the digital-media residuals issue: a reduced rate for a show's first year, when most shows are not turning a profit and need as much online promo as they can get. "Stop talking sense," responds a self-identified showrunner. "That is obviously not welcome in this negotiation."

Ah, professionally written comedy. You're going to have to get it where you can.

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  • 1

    Someone should tell the LA Times, before the "Jericho" fans start bitching, that Jericho is a CBS show, not an ABC show.

    Otherwise, a good breakdown. Good to know "Supernatural" has quite a few more episodes in the bag, and that "Psych" will be back as scheduled.

  • 2

    So when do we start the Tuned In betting pool for when the strike ends?

    As crazy as the idea sounds, I could see this thing lasting until the SAG and DGA contracts come up for renewal in July (i.e. finally getting resolved in early August). Lets face it, essentially the guilds want Hollywood to entirely restructure how they do business with each other, in the midst of an inevitable but still unknown technology shift. I can't forsee Hollywood caving on that anytime soon.

    In my mind, the most reasonable solution is for the studios to raise the current DVD rate by 2x, apply that to all new media, and table any long term settlement until the next contract period three years down the line.
    However, the more I look into it, the more I see the Guild members flat out rejecting any such agreement, because of the contractual difficulties in getting those rates raised once they are put to paper the first time. So who knows how long this will take.

  • 3

    I wonder who'll blink first, I do know with the disparity of numbers between both sides this has the potential for a long strike... Oh well thank god so many video games like Assassin's Creed, Mass Effect, Drake's Fortune etc etc will keep me occupied.

  • 4

    I'm very curious to see how this pans out. Much of what we know about the human mind is a result of observations of people who suffered damage to particular areas of their brain. This strike will teach us what the writers are really worth as a component of an entertainment machine.

    From where I'm standing, the answer is: probably more than they're getting paid now.

  • 5

    At least we'll get half of the last season of BSG. Hopefully this doesn't end up killing it. It's about the only show on that list I really care about, except for Colbert/Daily show, which will survive just fine, I'll bet.

  • 6

    Here's my question

    What happens to existing TV shows if this thing does last 18 months? After that long, is there a possibility the nets just toss their hands up and start fresh with new, cheaper scripted shows? And if it does last that long, how does that affect contracts for actors etc. Lost was scheduled to end in 2010. If the strike pushes that to 2011 or 2012 do contracts have to be renegotiated?

  • 7

    I had completely neglected to factor in the fact that this is Scrubs' final season, meaning the final six episodes of the entire show may not air for quite a while. Sad.

  • 8

    Searching for an answer.

    The whisper of
    a sibilant wind
    imagines, feeling
    the cold and when
    a light fades
    away, beautiful
    moments of a fearless
    and courageous
    wonder, describing
    a dream, and waiting
    for a meaning; but
    a weeping returns,
    and that's in your
    mind, like a glimmer
    of hope and a
    delicate sadness
    recalling the past
    in the light of
    a wisdom.

  • 9

    Is this a case of the haves vs. the haves?

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